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future identities?

August 2, 2024August 2, 2024

future identities? where are we heading?

there is no more serious hate in the world than what is directed at those of us who don\'t adhere to expected societal norms in terms of gender and sexuality. there are more hate crimes against people in the queer community than immigrants, arabs, muslims or jews while we make up a huge portion of the public.

it\'s not just conservatives, though. many liberals, even those who identify as feminists, attack anyone who identifies as gay or any gender identity not aligned with their genitals at birth. sexuality and gender segregation is, in much of the world, more aggressive and violent than at any other time in history.

in ancient times, gender and sexuality were fluid and unimportant to most people. while maleness was expected for most leaders, sexual attraction was irrelevant and the public accepted huge variation in gender identity and expression. in more recent history in the west, until the twentieth century, being gay or expressing different gender identities and norms was a private matter and the general public simply didn\'t care at all.

while gender and sexuality variation is well-documented through all of ancient history across ethnic and national divides, not a single work of scripture or philosophy criticizes it. not the torah, bible, qur\'an or mahabharata. not a single mention of gender nonconformity, homosexuality, asexuality or bisexuality in any of them. if you\'ve been told the bible condemns homosexuality, you\'ve been lied to. not only doesn\'t it condemn it - it doesn\'t mention it at all.

much like any other suppressed and hated minority group, the queer community is becoming more and more prevalent as those who belong feel more empowered to express themselves. those who didn\'t feel like they could be themselves were forced to conform to expected behaviors and identities and that expectation is disappearing. we have statistical models that allow us to predict how this will go and the outcome looks good. unless you hate the queer community.

the current generation being born today is classified \"generation beta\" or gen-b for short. in the relatively near future, by the time \"generation delta\" or gen-d has become adults, there will have been a huge shift in societal norms simply because the sexuality and identity police and conservative forces will no longer be able to contain the significant increase in the queer population. no, there won\'t be an inversion where straight, cis people are the minority at that point. but their majority will be much less overwhelming.

by gen-d adulthood, is is statistically likely that between 36 and 42% of the population will identity as homosexual or pansexual. it\'s more difficult to predict bisexuality numbers because many people fluctuate between homosexual/pansexual and bisexual during their lives.

predicting the growth of the transgender and gender-nonconforming community, it will likely be reaching a stable equilibrium point by that time with a value between 24 and 32%, though it may be significantly higher if gender-nonconformity continues to be as popular in growing populations as it is today, reaching more than 60% in the general public as gen-d comes of age.

the moral of this story is very clear. the future is not about everyone being queer and nobody ever predicted it would be. but it shows that any modern society has no choice but to fully accept sexuality and gender variation and flexibility. a hundred years ago, racial integration, working women, public education and social security were unthinkable shifts conservatives saw as undesirable, unnatural and impossible. identity flexibility and acceptance is the future whether you are prepared to accept it or not.

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